All Posts by Deb Shaw
Gold, Bitcoin, and the Search for Better Money
What job is money supposed to do? A comparison of gold and Bitcoin as monetary assets, and why Bitcoin is speculation first and monetary function second.
Why Gold Lost Its Monetary Role
Why societies abandoned gold as money: not because the metal failed, but because governments preferred flexibility over constraint, and what that shift means for investors.
Why Money Needs Trust
Why trust gives money value, how confidence enables cooperation and long-term planning, and why changing monetary conditions move capital across asset classes.
Why Monetary Systems Change
Why monetary systems change under war, fiscal stress, and crisis, how the shift from gold to fiat reshaped money creation, and what that means for investors.
What Is Money and Why Societies Create It
Why money emerged as humanity's coordinating tool, how it enables planning across time, and what that means for investors navigating modern financial markets.
Automatically Follow TiltFolio in Your Brokerage Account
TiltFolio has been approved as a Pilot on Autopilot, allowing eligible US investors to automatically follow TiltFolio's portfolio within their own brokerage accounts.
TiltFolio's First Year of Live Performance: A Review and What Comes Next
A review of TiltFolio's first full year of live performance: respectable absolute returns in an unusually strong equity bull market, what drove results, and what to expect next.
TiltFolio in 2025: A Year-End Review and What Comes Next
A look back at TiltFolio's strong first full year as a newsletter, why 2025 was such a favorable environment, and what the distance from long-term trends suggests about what comes next.
The Ancient Origins of Portfolio Diversification
How a 1,500-year-old Talmudic teaching about dividing wealth into thirds laid the foundation for modern portfolio theory and TiltFolio Balanced
How to Stay Committed to an Investment Plan
Practical strategies for maintaining discipline and avoiding emotional decisions during market stress, with tools to help you stick to your systematic investment approach.
The 'Secret' to the Best Risk-Adjusted Returns: Correlations
How uncorrelated asset classes and systems create smoother returns and better risk-adjusted performance than any single investment approach.
Beyond Moving Averages: Why Volatility Trends Matter More Than You Think
Exploring why long-term moving averages work, their limitations, and how volatility trends derived from market internals can dramatically improve trend-following systems.
How AI Is Changing Solo Work
How artificial intelligence is changing solo work, creating new opportunities for independent builders while reshaping traditional career paths.
Building a Simple Trend-Following System
How a simple trend-following system with just four rules can potentially enhance returns while maintaining transparency and reliability.
How to Avoid Curve-Fitting in Trend-Following
Learn how to identify and avoid curve-fitting in systematic trading strategies, and discover how TiltFolio's design principles prevent this common pitfall.
When Trend-Following Underperforms
Why TiltFolio Adaptive sometimes struggles, and why that's the price of long-term success
Will Trend-Following Keep Working?
Why a strategy that has worked for over 200 years still matters today, and what might cause it to change in the future.
How TiltFolio Adaptive Differs From Traditional Trend-Following
A deep dive into how TiltFolio Adaptive's binary, volatility-aware approach differs from traditional Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) trend-following strategies.
TiltFolio's Main Edge: Reliability That Compounds
Why reliability, not flashy performance, is the foundation of successful long-term investing and how TiltFolio delivers it systematically.
Explaining TiltFolio Through Car Brands
Why cars make the perfect analogy for understanding TiltFolio's different strategies, from Toyota-like reliability to Ferrari-level performance.
Decades of Perspective: What TiltFolio Balanced Teaches Us About the Future
Why the long history of TiltFolio Balanced matters, how each decade tells a different story about markets, and why recent underperformance points to brighter years ahead.
When Simple Beats Sophisticated
Why TiltFolio Balanced outperforms many of the world's most complex risk parity funds, even without leverage or billion-dollar research teams.
TiltFolio Balanced as a Market Barometer
How TiltFolio Balanced's equity curve serves as a powerful market signal, revealing when investors favor assets over cash and identifying the best buying opportunities.
Why TiltFolio Balanced Is the Foundation
How TiltFolio Balanced's 50/30/20 allocation provides the optimal foundation for wealth building in a post-gold-standard world, offering better risk-adjusted returns than traditional 60/40 portfolios.
Gold's Role as a Monetary Yardstick
Why gold became history's preferred monetary yardstick, how it now trades as a hedge on the fiat system, and what that means for diversified portfolios today.
Combining Balanced and Adaptive: A Practical Portfolio Mix
How combining TiltFolio Balanced and Adaptive creates stock-like returns with lower volatility than either approach alone.
How TiltFolio Works
A reliable investment strategy that follows market trends to help you build wealth over time without the stress of timing the market.
Why is TiltFolio Free?
The philosophy and strategy behind offering TiltFolio's investment signals and portfolio allocations at no cost, and how transparency builds trust in a skeptical industry.
TiltFolio Explained: A Smarter Alternative to 60/40 Portfolios
A simple guide to understanding what TiltFolio is, why it exists, and how it improves on the traditional portfolios most people are told to follow.
The Single Factor That Will Make TiltFolio Successful Today
Why distribution, not product quality, is the bottleneck that will determine TiltFolio's future
How I Expect TiltFolio to Grow
From TradingView indicators to tokenized portfolios: the roadmap for building the best risk-adjusted portfolio for the public
Why the Modern World Needs TiltFolio
How fiat money creates structural disadvantages for savers and why TiltFolio offers a systematic approach to navigating an unfair but navigable financial landscape.
Money and Investing
What money is, how fiat systems create structural volatility, and why understanding that environment shapes how investors build resilient portfolios.
Why I Started TiltFolio
The story behind TiltFolio - from personal research project to systematic investment strategy designed to adapt across different market regimes.